Growth At Any Price (GAAP) Is A Bad Strategy. Valuation Matters.

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“There seems to be some perverse human characteristic that likes to make easy things difficult.”    Warren Buffett

 Market Commentary:Growth At Any Price (GAAP) is a bad strategy. Valuation matters.

  • Commodities rolling over, US manufacturing in contraction, and recession expectations are heighted for good reasons.
  • The current leadership in the market is clearly not tech, or the Magnificent 7. Defensive sectors- food, utilities, insurance are doing well but not much else.
  • The number of 52- week low count exploded last week and now shows stormy conditions again. The Advance/decline rolled over on the NYSE, the NASDAQ looks outright awful.
  • Growth at any price is a bad strategy and leads to disappointment.
  •  By week’s end, we will see what looks like another good entry point, but it is fine to be holding some cash.
  • Get some “wish list prices” ready for your favorite ideas. You will probably get them. When those alerts go off, the news will be awful, and most people will freeze again.
  •  Economic data and market clues: Tuesday evenings Presidential debate will shed light on Novembers outcome.The new jobs downward revisions are outright scary. It looks like too much of the spending is coming from the government’s deficit spending.The Fed’s path is much more certain. Chairman Powell was clear- rates will be lowered, I think by 50-75 basis points by year end. More rates cuts are a lock for 2025 as well. Selected current holdings:  Magnet®:  Generac Holdings                 GNRCBrookfield Infrastructure        BIPCGreen Brick Partners            GRBK FACTS:Amgen                     AMGNAllstate                     ALLBoston Scientific      BSX For more information, .

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    Author: Travis Esquivel

    Travis Esquivel is an engineer, passionate soccer player and full-time dad. He enjoys writing about innovation and technology from time to time.

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